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Risk Reward Ratio Explained

The risk/reward ratio is the most important metric for evaluating trade quality. Learn how to calculate it and why professional traders never take trades below 1:2.

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What is Risk/Reward Ratio?

The risk/reward ratio (also written as R:R, RRR, or risk-to-reward) compares the potential profit of a trade to its potential loss. It answers the question: "How much can I make for every dollar I risk?"

A risk/reward ratio of 1:2 means you stand to make $2 for every $1 you risk. A ratio of 1:3 means $3 profit for every $1 risked.

The Risk/Reward Formula

Calculating risk/reward is straightforward:

Risk/Reward Ratio = Potential Profit ÷ Potential Loss

Or in terms of price levels:

R:R = |Take Profit - Entry| ÷ |Entry - Stop Loss|

Risk/Reward Calculation Examples

Example 1: Long Trade

Bitcoin Long Trade

Entry Price: $50,000

Stop Loss: $48,000 (risking $2,000 per BTC)

Take Profit: $56,000 (potential gain $6,000 per BTC)

R:R = $6,000 ÷ $2,000

Risk/Reward = 1:3

Example 2: Short Trade

EUR/USD Short Trade

Entry Price: 1.1000

Stop Loss: 1.1050 (risking 50 pips)

Take Profit: 1.0900 (potential gain 100 pips)

R:R = 100 pips ÷ 50 pips

Risk/Reward = 1:2

Why Risk/Reward Ratio Matters

The risk/reward ratio determines your required win rate to be profitable. Here's the math:

Risk/RewardRequired Win RateVerdict
1:150%Breakeven
1:233%Good
1:325%Excellent
1:420%Outstanding

With a 1:3 risk/reward ratio, you can be wrong 75% of the time and still break even. This is why professionals focus on finding high R:R setups rather than trying to be right on every trade.

What is a Good Risk/Reward Ratio?

Most professional traders have a minimum threshold of 1:2. This means they won't take any trade where the potential profit isn't at least twice the risk.

Some trading styles and their typical R:R ranges:

Scalping

R:R typically 1:1 to 1:1.5. Relies on high win rate (70%+) due to lower ratios.

Day Trading

R:R typically 1:2 to 1:3. Balances win rate with reward potential.

Swing Trading

R:R typically 1:3 to 1:5. Holds positions longer for bigger moves.

Position Trading

R:R can exceed 1:10. Targets major trend moves over weeks/months.

Using Multiple Take Profit Levels

Many traders use multiple take profit targets to optimize their average R:R while locking in profits along the way. A common approach:

This strategy gives you an average R:R of around 1:1.8 while reducing the emotional impact of trades that reverse after being profitable.

Common Risk/Reward Mistakes

Mistake 1: Moving Stop Loss to Improve R:R

Never move your stop loss further away to create a better-looking R:R. The stop loss should be placed at a level where your trade thesis is invalidated, not to hit an arbitrary ratio.

Mistake 2: Ignoring Market Structure

A 1:10 R:R means nothing if your take profit is above a major resistance level. Always ensure your targets are realistic based on support/resistance, previous highs/lows, and market structure.

Mistake 3: Only Looking at R:R

Risk/reward is important, but it's not everything. A 1:5 R:R trade with 10% probability of success is worse than a 1:2 R:R trade with 60% probability. Consider the complete picture.

Expected Value: The Complete Picture

To truly evaluate a trade, combine R:R with your estimated win probability to calculate Expected Value (EV):

EV = (Win Rate × Reward) - (Loss Rate × Risk)

Example:

Risk/Reward: 1:2 (risk $100 to make $200)

Win Rate: 50%

EV = (0.50 × $200) - (0.50 × $100)

EV = $100 - $50

Expected Value: +$50 per trade

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